Bird Flu Monitor > ECDC: Planning Assumptions For A Fall Wave

[Avian Flu Diary] Major drivers for the pandemic at present in Europe include the value of Ro and seemingly also the effect of seasonality (influenza always spreads less efficiently in the spring and summer in temperate zones, the reasons for this remain unclear).

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[The Lede] A New Airport Ritual, Swine Flu Screening - The Lede Blog ...: . What is most interesting about Ms. Stolberg’s article is her daughter was sick, and was given free hospital treatment which was really quite nice. The problems with communication are to be expected. Everyone is under pressure there, and statistics are kept on the number of cases and confinement. Remembering the Avian Flu, the military and security wing of the government is treating this like Invasion of the Body Snatchers.

[BBC NEWS | Fergus On Flu] BBC - Fergus On Flu: A sense of proportion: It's very hard for the officials to say to the population as a whole that there is a very small risk that some people will have a very serious, and even fatal, episode of flu, though mostly - but not totally - these will be those with other health problems. That risk, though it will only be for a very small number of people, is serious enough for officials to stress to everyone that if they, or someone they know, has a serious episode - and especially if that person has certain other conditions - then specific medical advice needs to be sought quickly and certain actions may need to be taken quickly.

[H1N1- Ultimate News on influenza A - bird flu, swine flu & avian flu alerts] H1N1- Ultimate News on influenza A - bird flu, swine flu & avian ...: However, the programs in these other countries also grossly underestimates the number of cases, because the case definition includes travel from an H1N1 infected region, so local cases are not tested unless they link back to imported cases.  However, this airport surveillance program misses the vast majority of imported cases because cases infected within a few days of travel are not symptomatic, and a high percentage of cases do not develop a high fever. 

[The Blogger] Swine flu: Tales from the front line of pandemic Britain « The Blogger: If you are otherwise healthy, you probably do not need antiviral drugs (Tamiflu and Relenza) for yourself. However, if you live with anyone in the high risk groups - elderly, pregnant, children, or anyone with a chronic condition such as asthma or heart trouble - it may be worth getting antiviral drugs for them, to take prophylactically while you are infectious .

[Health Care Fitness] Swine Flu Causes & Symptoms | Health Care Fitness: But this new strain is a combination of avian flu, human flu, and swine flu. This makes it deadlier than previous swine flu outbreaks, and it's the reason why many countries around the world are alarmed by the epidemic.

[Bird Flu Monitor] Bird Flu Monitor: Pandemic Information News: Patient suspect Avian ...: ..: Our best intelligence estimate is that pandemic Avian Flu has already been created through genetic engineering in the United States, .FOR KIDS: Swine Flu Goes Global / Science News: On April 29, the organization issued a warning that the spread of H1N1 may lead to a pandemic, when a disease occurs in many .

[BBC NEWS | Fergus On Flu] BBC - Fergus On Flu: National pandemic service: A leap of faith: Sorry, Sutara, but I believe this mass medication of the population - many of whom probably won't have swine flu, or ,as you say, take it too late for it to be effective - seems to me to be playing with fire, and in particular risking the drug becoming resistant in the future when those with existing complications will need it most. It is also wasting money that the health service is desperately in need of - wouldn't you rather have a few more intensive care beds?

[Bird Flu Monitor] Bird Flu Monitor: Nose Too Cold for Avian Flu - Neatorama: No, Really, Swine Flu Is Not A Threat - Nick's Crusade: H5N1 (avian flu) spreads very slowly (it has difficulty passing from bird to human) but is very deadly, attacking the lungs.

[H1N1- Ultimate News on influenza A - bird flu, swine flu & avian flu alerts] H1N1- Ultimate News on influenza A - bird flu, swine flu & avian ...: presence of avian PB2 may offer a selective advantage over the summer, when seasonal flu falls to barely detectable levels.  However, the swine H1N1 that moves south in the upcoming months will be growing under colder conditions, which may favor the acquisition of E627K though reassortment or recombination. 

[CDC Travel Notices plus News and Announcments] Outbreak Notice: Human Avian influenza, Asia | CDC Travelers' Health: Because no sustained human-to-human transmission of H5N1 virus has been reported anywhere in the world, WHO reports that the current worldwide pandemic alert is in Phase 3. CDC remains in close communication with WHO and continues to monitor the H5N1 virus situation in countries reporting bird outbreaks and human cases.

[Blog about medical clinics] Blog about medical clinics » Medical Center Feeding Clinic: If you are otherwise healthy, you probably do not need antiviral drugs (Tamiflu and Relenza) for yourself. However, if you live with anyone in the high risk groups - elderly, pregnant, children, or anyone with a chronic condition such as asthma or heart trouble - it may be worth getting antiviral drugs for them, to take prophylactically while you are infectious .

[BBC NEWS | Today | Tom Feilden's blog] BBC - Today: Tom Feilden: The true scale of swine flu: No doubt an estimate of how many people infected is useful for health professionals and government officials trying to organise the dissemination of resources to areas hard hit by an outbreak (I could write for days on the uselessness of Tamiflu, given the fact it is useless after 48hours of a patient showing symptoms. In my experience, I only ever seek help having been ill for days, because I am confident in my immune systems ability to beat diseases.

[DARnet Andy Roberts] Now I've Got Swine Flu - Really: After a question and answer session which I was really not able to cope with very well, she decided I needed Tamiflu which is being sent out to chemists, not on prescription but as part of the emergency preparations for the swine flu pandemic, or any other flu pandemic for that matter such as avian flu ( H5N1) which is also on it’s way perhaps, but was suddenly overtaken by the swine flu A H1N1 virus, first reported in Mexico.

[Socio-Economics History Blog] Swine H1N1 Summer Spread Raises Pandemic Concerns « Socio ...: An increasing number of cases link back to the United States.  However, the programs in these other countries also grossly underestimates the number of cases, because the case definition includes travel from an H1N1 infected region, so local cases are not tested unless they link back to imported cases.  However, this airport surveillance program misses the vast majority of imported cases because cases infected within a few days of travel are not symptomatic, and a high percentage of cases do not develop a high fever.  Moreover, the rapid test used to confirm cases has a low sensitivity.  Consequently, most imported cases are not detected, and local infected patients are also not tested because they do not meet the case definition.

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