Bird Flu Monitor > July 7 Flu Update

http://influenzapandemic.blogspot.com [The Coming Influenza Pandemic?] "God help me," Guan said, sounding exasperated, "they are trying to close everyone's lab." He said he believes the new rules are an excuse for authorities to exert tighter control over the dissemination of lab results, and are not aimed at protecting the wider population from bird flu outbreaks that have dotted the country in recent months.

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http://girlscientist.blogspot.com [Girlscientist.blogspot.com] Living the Scientific Life (or Scientist, Interrupted): Is Avian ...: Additionally, NIID has already discovered 7 more “positives” for H5N1 among those samples that previously tested negative: These data resulted after retesting only one third of 90 suspected Vietnamese cases of Avian Influenza thus far. Not only does this difficulty of identifying H5N1 alter our calculated infectivity and mortality statistics but it also interferes with officials’ efforts to identify and monitor possible instances of human-to-human transmission -- the last criterion that must be met before an effective pandemic of H5N1 can occur.

Futurepundit.comhttp://www.futurepundit.com [Futurepundit.com] FuturePundit: Avian Influenza May Mutate Into Killer Human Pandemic: Public health officials are starting to sound downright scary in their pronouncements about the potential danger to humans of the H5N1 influenza strain which is spreading through populations of chickens, ducks, and other birds in Southeast Asia. Julie Gerberding, head of the US CDC, told a meeting of the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) that we are probably in a period equivalent to the historical period right before the 1918 influenza pandemic which killed tens of millions of people.

[Reachm.com] The American Street » Blog Archive » Bad Bug: The virus has killed 27 people in Vietnam and 12 in Thailand over the past year, and experts fear it appears to be evolving in ways that increasingly favour the start of a deadly human influenza outbreak. The situation “may resemble that leading to the 1918 pandemic”, which killed more than 40 million people, the WHO said.

[Timworstall.typepad.com] Tim Worstall: Avian Influenza: I would gladly listen to someone who tells me I’m wrong but I take that to mean, reading between the lines, a Nobel Laureate in Medicine, stating that it is not whether but when it will happen, that a re-run of the Spanish ’flu (whether this current Avian version or another) is virtually certain at some point in the future. Ouch.

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